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world fertilizer trends and outlook to 2016

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Summary
Table of contents
This report presents the world nitrogen, phosphate and potassium fertilizer medium-term supply and demand projections for the period 2012-2016. The FAO/Fertilizer Organizations Working Group met in FAO, Rome in June 2012 to review the prospects for fertilizer demand and supply, and made the forecasts.

The Working Group comprised:
  •        Fertilizers Europe
  • FAI Fertiliser Association of India
  • IFA International Fertilizer Industry Association
  • IFDC International Center for Soil Fertility and Agricultural Development
  • IMPHOS World Phosphate Institute
  • K+S K+S KALI GmbH
  • TFI The Fertilizer Institute
  • FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Annex 1 presents explanatory notes on potential supply, demand and balance. Annexes 2, 3, and 4 present world and regional (listed in Annex 8) fertilizer demand forecasts for nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, respectively. Annexes 5, 6 and 7 present world and regional potential supply, demand and balance for the three primary nutrients. Name plate capacity, operating rates and demand for fertilizers vary from year to year.

All references relating to fertilizers are in terms of three primary nutrients, viz., nitrogen(N), phosphate (P2O5) and potash (K2O). The fertilizer demand and supply data refer to the calendar year.

FAO, in collaboration with experts from the Working Group dealing with fertilizer production, consumption and trade, annually provides five-year forecasts of world and regional fertilizer supply, demand and potential balance. The contributions made by the members of the Working Group are gratefully acknowledged. Preparation of the document by Mr. T. K. Chanda, Additional Director, The Fertiliser Association of India is sincerely acknowledged. Editing of the document by Dr. Christian Nolte, Senior Officer, FAO and collection of data and assistance in compilation by Ms. Christina Vella, Tomlin, FAO, Rome are gratefully acknowledged.